The pattern had been predicted to form for several months, and weak La Niña conditions were finally officially met this week.
La Nina conditions are present and there is a 59% chance of it persisting through February-April 2025, with a 60% chance of transition to ENSO-neutral conditions during March-May 2025, a U.S.
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La Niña could give way to neutral conditions by spring, but in the meantime, it could keep Arizona warmer and drier.